Department of Economics and Banking
Permanent URI for this collectionhttp://dspace.iiuc.ac.bd/handle/88203/241
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Item Revisiting inflation and growth nexus in Bangladesh: an asymmetric cointegration based on non-linear ARDL approach(Revista Finanzas y Politíca Económica,, 2021-07) Hossain, Mohammed Akter; Acet, Hakan; Ahmed, Zobayer; Majumder, AlauddinSustainable high economic growth is the major objective of a country. In contrast, inflation is a critical issue that alters economic development. For this, the growth-inflation nexus is one of the most controversial topics in this present world. This study re-investigates the link between inflation and the economic development of Bangladesh by applying a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lagged (NARDL) method. We utilize yearly time series data set on the growth rate of per capita GDP and the inflation rate for the time range from 1986 to 2017. Based on the NARDL approach, the asymmetric cointegration result confirms, between the GDP growth and inflation rates (CPI), a long-run integration exists. Between growth rate and inflation rate, the study finds a positive and robust nexus both in the long-run and in the short-run with statistically significant results. This study further explores an asymmetric relationship between the rate of inflation and the rate of economic growth. The nonlinear ARDL approach shows that the GDP growth rate responds more with an upward change in inflation than a downward change. Furthermore, the positive change in inflations has a significant and positive influence on the growth rate in the short run. Still, the effect of an adverse change in inflations has statistically insignificant. Both the policymakers of Bangladesh (Bangladesh Bank) and development partners working in the country can be benefited from these results in the context of policy implementation. To boost the economic growth in the context of Bangladesh, this study recommends that a moderate inflation rate can be treated as a significant determinationItem Circular economy model for developing countries: evidence from Bangladesh(by Elsevier Ltd., 2018-05) Ahmed, Zobayer; Mahmud, Sakib; Acet, HakanFrom environmental and sustainable development perspective, circular economy model is rarely applied in developing countries compared to developed nations. The aim of this paper is to review the overall scenario of the circular economy (CE) model in Bangladesh toward sustainable development. The study relies on the descriptive analysis of both qualitative and quantitative data, collected mostly from secondary sources with some in-depth interviews of the experts in the relevant field. The overall environmental status of Bangladesh, prospects, prac- tices, and challenges of the circular economy model were thoroughly discussed in this paper. Though there are prospects to switching towards CE, the study reveals that the CE model's applicability is very limited in Bangladesh, being exercised mostly through recycling processes in some industries. Most importantly, we attempted to explore what is holding the CE practice in Bangladesh back, and iterated some policy, technical, and public participation barriers existing in Bangladesh. This paper will benefit the policymakers in developing countries in general and Bangladesh in particular to look more into the matter and hope to present ideas for future researchers to work on the idea of CE in the context of particular sectors and subsectors of Bangladesh.Item Criticisms of Coase Theorem: Can Ethical Strength of the Parties Ensure Efficient Resource Allocation?([International Journal of Ethics in Social Sciences, 2016-06) Ahmed, ZobayerRonald Harry Coase (1910–2013), a British economist and author in his famous Coase Theorem states, As long as private property rights are well defined under zero transaction cost, exchange will eliminate divergence and lead to efficient use of resources or highest valued use of resources.‟ The theorem has greater implications to internalize the externalities through market mechanism. However, the theorem has been criticized by environmental economists since the fundamental flaws of the theorem lie under the invalidity of its assumptions in the reality. Specially, in the presence of environmental externality, the assumptions of the theorem are not valid. This paper focuses on the role of parties in transaction where environmental externality exists, from the perspective of Islamic ethics. The paper argues, in the presence of negative externality where the assumptions of Coase Theorem are not applicable, the internalization of externality can still be possible without any government intervention. Such internalization is related to the ethical strengths of the parties involved in the environmental pollution. The paper further argues, the efficiency of resource utilization is positively related with the ethical strength of the parties in the market.Item Public Expenditure and Economic Growth Relationship in Developing Countries: The case of Bangladesh(Journal of Current Researches on Business and Economics,, 2020-10-15) Ahmed, Zobayer; Acet, HakanThis analysis empirically focuses on how government spending affects economic development in Bangladesh. The study uses time-series data from 1965 through 2016 from the World Development Indicators for independent variables household consumption expense, capital formation and public sector consumption spending. The Johansen co-integration test showed a long-run association among the variables. However, OLS results show that capital formation and household consumption expenditure positively and public sector consumption spending negatively affect Bangladesh's GDP. A more productive investment by the government sector may reduce government spending's adverse effects on Bangladesh's GDPItem Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) for Bangladesh: Evidence from Fully Modified OLS Approach(Journal Of Emerging Economies and Policy, 2021-03) Rahman, Mohammad Mahbubur; Enayet Karimb, Abu Ansar Mohammad; Ahmed, Zobayer; Acetd, HakanItem Privatization policy, entrepreneurship, and economic development: the dynamics in Bangladesh economy(Journal of Global Entrepreneurship Research, 2021-05-24) Uddin, Muhammad Salah; Ahmed, ZobayerBangladesh has been experiencing dual economic trends with and without the inclusive institution since its independence in 1971. The era of nationalization with limited property rights and a liberal economy with an inclusive institution have evolved the economic path of Bangladesh. The study aims to explore if the privatization matters for economic development through entrepreneurship and to find the outcomes of these two-policy shocks producing. The current study presented both trend analysis and econometric modeling using annual time series data from 1960 to 2017. Findings show that private property rights instigate private entrepreneurial activity more through higher GDP per capita, more capital formation, and imports of capital goods. Eventually, privatization contributes to the economic development of Bangladesh. The result of the study is new from the perspective of Bangladesh compared to the existing bulk of knowledge related to economic impacts of privatization, and thus the findings of the study are subject to offer impactful benefits to policymakers.Item Privatization policy, entrepreneurship, and economic development: the dynamics in Bangladesh economy(Journal of Global Entrepreneurship Research, 2021-05-24) Uddin, Muhammad Salah; Ahmed, ZobayerBangladesh has been experiencing dual economic trends with and without the inclusive institution since its independence in1971. The era of nationalization with limited property rights and a liberal economy with an inclusive institution have evolved the economic path of Bangladesh. The study aims to explore if the privatization matters for economic development through entrepreneurship and to find the outcomes of these two-policy shocks producing. The current study presented both trend analysis and econometric modeling using annual time series data from 1960 to 2017. Findings show that private property rights instigate private entrepreneurial activity more through higher GDP per capita, more capital formation, and imports of capital goods. Eventually, privatization contributes to the economic development of Bangladesh. The result of the study is new from the perspective of Bangladesh compared to the existing bulk of knowledge related to economic impacts of privatization, and thus the findings of the study are subject to offer impactful benefits to policymakersItem User Perception Of Mobile Banking Adoption: An Integrated Ttf-Utaut Model(Journal of Internet Banking and Commerce, 2017-12) Ahmed, Zobayer; Kader, Abdul; RASHID, Harun Ur; Nurunnabi, MohammadThis study investigates the factors influencing users’ perception on adoption of mobile banking (mBanking) services in Bangladesh from the understanding of technology perception. Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) has used as an instrument to analyze the data collected from the respondents. The established framework of integrating the task technology fit (TTF) and the unified theory of acceptance and usage of technology (UTAUT) have been applied to examine users' perception and intention in adopting mBanking services. The study shows that the most influencing factor is Social influence (SOI) in adopting mBanking. Besides, Task-technology fit (TTF), Technology characteristics (TEC), Performance expectancy (PEE), Facilitating conditions (FAC), Task characteristics (TAC), and User adoption (USE) have great influence on users’ perception and attitude towards mobile banking services. The findings of this research show a useful understanding to the decision makers to implement and develop mBanking service and help to know how it affects users’ attitude, perceptions and intention. This research provides a highlight to understand the users’ perceptions about the adoption of mBanking in Bangladesh. It emphasizes greatly on the social influence from the users understanding toward adopting mBanking services and new technologies that have been a part of modern life style.Item Rationalizing the Choice of Housing on Cultivable Land: Is Cash-Return the Only Determinant?(Journal of Social and Development Sciences, 2013-12) Saha, Pronab Kumar; Ahmed, ZobayerSociety faces numerous problems due to high population growth where housing along with other settlements is a notable concern. Horizontal expansion of housing on cultivable land in rural area reduces the availability of land for cultivation. The study is a combination of both quantitative and qualitative in nature based on primary data, carried out in a village in Comilla, an eastern district of Bangladesh during April 2012. The study finds that the households receive returns both in cash as well as in kind from new homesteads made on cultivable land. The cash benefit received by households at new place is Tk. 156238.14 on an average per year in 2011 price and on an average the cash investment per year in 2011 price (inflation adjusted) for housing is Tk. 213108.1818 (weighted average). This clearly indicates a cash loss from housing on cultivable land from household’s perspective. However, statistically the cash investment for housing in rural area is not significantly different from the cash return received by the households at 5% level of significance. Thus it becomes an important question whether the household’s choice of making new home on cultivable land is a rational choice or not. Further, the amount of money each household spent for housing could have been used for a higher cash return through some alternative investments. The study reveals, households derive positive utility (non cash returns) from new homes notwithstanding cash loss and other investment options forgone. The study further argues that if the government or any authority is to take some steps regarding the declining trend of cultivable land in rural areas, the perspectives of the households must be considered with great attention.Item Investigating Okun‟S Law In SAARC Countries: An Ardl Approach(EUL Journal of Social Sciences, 2021-06) Hanif, Abu; Ahmed, Zobayer; Çevag, SavaĢThe aim of this paper is to test the applicability of Okun‟s law in SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) countries. It also intends to find the long-run association between unemployment rate and growth rate and investigate the impact of growth rate on unemployment in the South Asian Region. The study uses annual time series data for eight SAARC countries, from 1991 to 2017. To meet the objectives of the research, the graphical illustration of trend with descriptive statistics are followed by econometric analysis. Based on the stationarity of the variables, an autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model has been estimated to test the long- run relationship between unemployment and growth. The results indicate that per capita GDP negatively influences the unemployment rate in the long run only in three member countries of SAARC, namely- Afghanistan, India and Sri Lanka and in the South Asian Region in aggregate. This paper also finds a negative relationship between the growth rate and unemployment rate in Bangladesh, but this association is not statistically significant. The study doesn‟t find any negative relationship between the two variables in Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal and Pakistan. The study discovers the validity of Okun‟s law, but the attained Okun coefficient is less than that of the actual Okun coefficient, documented by Arthur Okun. Another substantial evidence is that the significance of the connection between the growth rate and unemployment rate varies among the SAARC countries. The main limitation of this paper is the unavailability of data for Afghanistan compared to other SAARC countries. This paper is unique as it tests the validity of Okun‟s law in every member country of SAARC and as a region of South Asia. To date, no such study like this has been found in the body of literature which finds long-run relationship in all SAARC countries